London School of Bank Risk Management

5 days 27-31 Mar 2017, London UK £4,995.00 + VAT* Download brochure Add to basket
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Overview

"This programme has given me a total perspective on risk management. No doubt about it, the Instructor knows his stuff"
Senior Manager, Risk Management, Fidelity Bank


Attend this intensive 5-day course and learn:    

  • A broad look across risk management
  • The Basel Accord – what is it, and why do we have it?
  •  Did the Accord work in the current economic crisis?
          -          Basel II.5 and III and beyond
          -          What are the impacts of the proposed changes
  • Development of the ICAAP in preparation for your SRe
  • Creation of a risk frameworK
  • How risk management should be organized
  • The assessment of traded and non-traded market risk using both traditional and modern approaches
  • Credit portfolio management – why is this the new paradigm?
  • How operational risk is being assessed and managed
  • Stress testing – what went wrong, and how this has changed!!
  • How can Risk Management add value??

 

Financial institutions have been formally managing their risks from inception. But the perception of risk management is fundamentally changing within these institutions. No longer is it seen purely as a control mechanism – but as a critical input into the basic business question: am I earning enough revenue out of this transaction to compensate me for the additional risks I am taking on?
This concept permeates all the leading financial institutions. Every transaction needs to be assessed in terms of the increase in risk to the institution, with the assurance that the pricing of that transaction will generate a suitable return. Budgets should be allocated, and performances measured, on the basis of revenue earned per unit of risk generated.
Such a risk culture is reinforced by the new Basel Accord, already implemented in some countries and due to be implemented in many more in the next 2-3 years. This requires the banks to allocate regulatory capital against the major components of risk, using either regulatory or, more likely, internal models.
In the recent Western banking crisis and subsequent economic downturn, many financial institutions lost large amounts of money and had to be assisted by governments. Was this a failure of risk management, and if so, why? This course will discuss what happened, and how some institutions actually came out of the credit crisis with enhanced reputations. This course is designed to provide delegates firstly with an high-level overview of modern risk management, including a breakdown of the new Accord and a comparison with the old one. This is then followed by an in-depth examination of the techniques and management structures used to assess and to control risk, including a detailed discussion on the implementation of Value-at-Risk, which is becoming the de facto standard for measuring risk across all the major classes: market, credit and operational.

This unique course follows closely the proposed structure of the new Accord, and is designed to enhance your knowledge:

  • Why Risk Management has become so crucial to Financial Institutions
  • What decisions you need to make when implementing the new Accord, and what is the timeline
  • How should Risk Management be organised
  • Estimate the level of Economic Capital required to underpin any transaction, and therefore address the question: how much Economic Capital does an institution require?
  • Analyse the major forms of risk generated by financial institutions, particularly within an Value-at-Risk framework
  • What are the competing internal approaches to the measurement of Credit Risk
  • How to implement an Operational Risk methodology successfully
  • What methodologies for Operational Risk measurement are becoming industry-standard
  • Does modelling work: how to mitigate the really big events that may bring you down!

As a result of the banking crisis, the Accord has evolved into what was called Basel II.5 and is now called Basel III – changes continue to be introduced throughout 2015 and beyond. These significant changes to the Accord, and how they will impact on the business model of your bank, will be discussed in detail.


Methodology

  •  A wide range of real-life case-studies discussing the lessons we should learn from these failed institutions - could the same events happen at your institute?
  • Computer simulations of the latest techniques to model market, credit and operational risk, and discussions about commercially-available software

Credited by GARP - Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP)

Instructors

We work with a series of expert instructors, please select the course location of interest to review the credentials of who will be delivering the programme.

London
Dr. Richard Flavell

The course director is a consultant in the financial services industry. Until recently, he was Director of Financial Engineering at Lombard Risk Systems, one of the leading providers of derivative trading systems around the world. In this role he led a team responsible for the mathematical development of Lombard’s derivative trading and risk management systems. At the same time, he also undertook extensive client/product training and consultancy projects.

Prior to his role at Lombard Risk, he was Head of Financial Engineering at ANZ Merchant Bank in London, and was Reader in Finance at The Management School, Imperial College, which is part of the University of London. He has worked with many banks and financial institutions around the world, advising them on their derivative and risk management activities. He has an international reputation for his expertise in swaps, other derivatives and risk management.

He has also published widely in both academic and professional literature, his most recent book on Swaps and other Derivatives was published in December 2009, and he is currently writing a book on bank risk management. His approach to training is structured and practical. He has extensive experience and success in teaching both recent entrants to the derivatives markets and risk management, as well as highly experienced technical experts and market participants.

Venue

London

Central London Hotel Venue

All courses are held at four or five star venues in Central London, Zone 1. We strive to provide you with a training environment of the highest quality, to ensure that the whole learning experience exceeds your expectations.

Your training venue will be confirmed by one of our course administrators approximately 3-4 weeks before the course start date.

Related Courses

Inhouse


 

Do you have five or more people interested in attending this course? Do you want to tailor it to meet your company's exact requirements? If you'd like to do either of these, we can bring this course to your company's office. You could even save up to 50% on the cost of sending delegates to a public course.

To find out more about running this course in-house:





Our Tailored Learning Offering

If you want to run this course at a location convenient to you or if you want a completely customised learning solution, we can help.

We produce learning solutions that are completely unique to your business. We'll guide you through the whole process, from the initial consultancy to evaluating the success of the full learning experience. Our learning specialists ensure you get the maximum return on your training investment.



We can offer any of our public courses delivered at your office or we can devise completely tailored solutions:


Read more about our offering or complete a call back request to speak to a learning specialist.

 

Agenda

Day 1

Basel II and Good Risk Management Practices

Introduction
• The evolution of banking risk:
•  Why Basel I was deemed necessary
•  G30 report
• Case study: Bankers Trust
• Why Basel II was deemed necessary to replace Basel I

The Evolution of Bank Risk Management
• From a cost centre to a strategic competitive weapon

The Basel Accord II – A Brief Overview
It is assumed that all delegates will have at least heard of the new Basel Accord. This section will summarise its implications for financial institutions, with particular attention to Pillars II and III.
•  Objectives of the new Accord
•  Application of the Accord
•  To whom does it apply?
•  Legal standing of the Accord and national discretions
•  Structure of the new Accord
•  Pillar I: Minimum Capital Requirement
-What constitutes bank capital?
- Expected and unexpected losses and the role of capital.
•  Pillar II: Supervisory Review Process – its objectives
- Construction of an ICAAP - a brief outline
- Risk-Based supervision – what is meant by this, and why are supervisors moving towards it?
•  Pillar III: Market Discipline – what are the requirements and some issues
- Interaction with other regulatory requirements such as IFRS
- Will Pillar III remain?
•  Procyclicality
•  What has resulted from the banking crisis in 2007-9
- Changes to the quantity and quality of capital
- Introduction of “bail-in” capital and PONV – what happened in Cyprus
- A summary of other changes – discussed in detail later in the programme
- Beyond Basel III – do we see Basel IV emerging?
Delegates will be encouraged to discuss the current and planned progress of their institution towards the new Accord.

Good Risk Management Practices
Whilst each class of risk has developed its own methodologies, there are some overarching sound practices required to support the overall risk management framework
• What is a risk framework?
•  The COSO framework – how applicable to banks?

Developing an Appropriate Risk Management Environment
•  Typical organisational structure
•  Roles and responsibilities of each of the parties
•  Defining the risk appetite of the institution
- Factors that may influence a risk appetite
- Quantitative and qualitative approaches
•  Creation of risk management policies and procedures
•  Risk identification framework
•  Risk measurement methodologies
•  Management and control of risks
•  Reporting and monitoring of risks
Case study: the discussion will be with reference to a leading international bank. Delegates will be encouraged to discuss the progress of their institution towards good practices and highlight areas of priority.

 

Day 2

Market Risk

Market risk has changed fundamentally over the past 15 years, with the introduction of Value-at-Risk. These sessions first discuss the main approaches used to control traders at the “desk-top”, and then the main approach banks use to calculate their regulatory VaR. Due to the recent banking crisis, there have been a number of substantive changes. The regulatory methods will be reviewed with example calculations and the implications of the changes discussed.

Introduction
•  What are the main sources of market risk?
•  Interest rate, foreign exchange, equity and commodity risks
•  What are the main methodologies?
Case study: NatWest Bank

Traditional Desk-top Risk Measurement
•  Adopting a portfolio approach, interest rate risk will be discussed:
•  Construction of classic gridpoint sensitivity reports for a significant portfolio
•  Extension to incorporate curvature

Modern Risk Measures: Value-at-Risk
•  Introduction through a simple 1- factor example
•  Using historic simulation
- Extension to a 2-factor example
- Demonstration of more realistic examples
- What do banks do in practice?
- Practical difficulties of implementation: volatility and correlation, holding period
• An outline of other methodologies

Regulatory Requirements of the Basel Accord
•  The Standardised Approach
- How to estimate the IR capital requirement using maturity bands – example calculations
- How to estimate the IR capital requirement using duration bands – example calculations
- How to estimate the FX, equity and commodity capital requirements
- How to incorporate options
• Proposed new Standardised Approach
- How this will work, using the same above example
•  Specific risk: inclusion of credit risk from the trading book
•  Internal models – using VaR
- Qualitative approval process
- Calculation of the regulatory capital for market and specific risk
- Introduction of Stressed VaR
- Back testing: what is it and how to apply it?
•  Extensions to market-risk framework – likely introduction of Expected Shortfall
•  Definition of “trading”
•  Valuation of illiquid positions
•  Introduction of the Incremental Risk Charge – what are its implications?
- Revisions to the IRC
•  Likely further developments

Measurement of Interest Rate and Liquidity Risk
The new Accord makes a distinction between traded and non-traded market risk. The latter often includes funding liquidity risk by extension. Banks apply different approaches to try to assess non-traded and liquidity risk and this section discusses them.
• How does non-traded market risk arise
-IRR exposure: earnings and economic value approaches
- Gap analysis – contractual and behavioural
- Static and dynamic simulation
- Assessment of IR risk – an approach with a worked example
• Funding liquidity risk
- How does it arise, and how should it be managed
-The new regulatory constraints:
- The details of Liquidity Coverage Ratio – and its business implications
- The likely details of the Net Stable Funding Ratio
- Impact on banking, such as the long-term funding of infrastructure projects
•  What does the Accord require?

Delegates will be encouraged to discuss the organisation of the market risk function within their institution and the main management reports used.
 


Day 3

Credit Risk

Banks are traditional credit risk-taking institutions. Hence, through experience, presumably they have developed well-founded mechanisms for managing credit risk? If that is the case, why have the leading international banks fundamentally changed the way in which they view credit risk over the past twenty years? And does the Basel Accord support or hinder this new paradigm?

Overview – the Traditional View of Credit Risk Management (CRM)
•  Banks as traditional credit taking institutions
•  The typical credit control process
•  Traditional credit risk mitigation
•  The effectiveness of the process: does it work?
•  Level I CRM
•  Case studies: Bankgesellschaft Berlin, Continental Illinois and Credit Lyonnais

Modern Credit Risk Management
• Portfolio Credit Risk Management
• Why is it the new paradigm?
• What are the fundamental concepts?
• Basic data requirements: Exposure At Default, Probabilities of Defaults, Loss Given Defaults and correlations

How to Estimate EADs
• Traditional loan exposures
• Provision of guarantees such as standby letters of credit or trade finance
• Settlement, pre-settlement and derivative risks
• Introducing Expected Positive Exposure – how to calculate for a derivative
• The concept of credit conversion factors

How to Estimate PDs
• Cohort methodologies – how they work in practice 
- Use of historic data from external parties 
- Shortcomings of these approaches and how to overcome them
- Various approaches: OCC, Fed Reserve, DB, FSA, etc.
• Introduction of Statistical factor models (also known as scoring models)
- Examples of statistical models
- Introducing subjective data
- Corporate and retail modelling – what is the difference?
- Practical implementation of scoring models
- Using Logistic regression to estimate PDs
• Traditional credit analysis
- What are the main components of a traditional rating methodology
•    Credit analysis vs. statistical model? What is the verdict?
•  Market-based approaches:
- The credit market
- The debt market
- The equity market and Merton’s model
- Hybrid models
•  Each approach will be briefly but critically discussed

 How to estimate LGDs:
•  Is estimating LGDs hard?
• How to implement a Distressed Cashflow model
•  Discussion of some estimation projects

Seven Levels of Credit Risk Management – Where is your Institution?
•  Active credit portfolio management

Delegates will be encouraged to discuss the organisation of the credit risk function within their institution and the main management reports used.
Estimation of Regulatory Capital for Credit Risk

The Standardised Approach
•  The “who” and the “what” of the Accord
•  The role of external rating agencies
- International or domestic – that’s the question?
- How has the US removed ECRAs from its regulations
•  Credit conversion factors
•  Permitted risk mitigation

Overview of the Internal Rating Based Approaches
•  Foundation and advanced approaches
- What you supply, what the Accord supplies, and what the national supervisor supplies
- What is likely to change in the future?
- How to apply to different client sectors
- Example calculations
- What is the regulatory credit model?
- The underlying theoretical assumptions
•  Minimum organisational and technical requirements to implement these approaches
•  Permitted risk mitigation

Results of the BIS QIS5, June 2006

Introduction of a Leverage Constraint
• What is a Leverage ratio, and how does it compare to the Basel II ratio?
• How does the US ratio work
• The new proposed Basel III ratio
- How it will work, and the timetable
- Likely business implications, especially on off-BS activities such as Letters of Credit
• Will it be changed – the views of some banking supervisors

A brief outline of portfolio credit modelling
Note: this section will only be covered if there is sufficient interest in the technical details by the delegates. If not, it may be very briefly discussed and demonstrated.
•  Analytically modelling portfolio default assuming independence
•  Simulating portfolio default
•  Introducing correlations
•  Estimation of correlations
•  Modelling a realistic portfolio
•  Construction of a loss distribution
•  Calculating credit VaR
•  Implementing such a model in practice
Extension of the default model to a migration model – as required by IRC
Extension of the default model to a copula model

Delegates will be given a computer-based example of a portfolio model, to investigate the impact of changing a range of input parameters. If there is time and desire, the events underlying the credit crisis will be discussed from a technical perspective.

 

Day 4

Operational Risk

The Basel Accord has introduced a capital requirement for operational Risk for the first time. But what is operational risk? Can it be realistically measured as the Accord requires? Or is the whole topic the triumph of optimism over reality? These are some of the basic questions to be debated in the section, along with a detailed coverage of the approaches banks are employing.

Overview
•  What is operational risk: alternative definitions?
•  What is the regulatory charge supposed to cover?
•  The Basel categories and definitions
•  The results of the latest loss data collection exercise
•  Why has operational risk been included in the new Accord?
•  The early view of operational risk, and the current view
Case study: Royal Bank of Canada

Developing an Operational Risk Methodology
•  Developing suitable objectives and policies
•  Typical operational risk organisational structures
•  Relationship with other functions, especially internal audit
•  Top down or bottom up – a major decision?
•  Creating a risk framework
•  Risk identification
•  Build or buy an operational risk database
•  Aside: Process analysis – which are the key processes?
•   Process mapping – what are the major risks in any given process?
•  Key risk indicators – what can be used as a risk metric?
•   The KRI project
•  Regulatory indicator approaches – what is permitted?

Bottom-up Risk Measurement Models
•  Loss Distribution Analysis: statistical modelling using historic data
- Using external data – good or bad?
- Fitting severity and frequency distributions
- Modelling a LD, and estimating the 99.9% VaR

Computer-Based Demonstration using Real Data 
•  Control self assessment: score-card or self-assessment approaches
- Example of assessment questionnaire
- Training of people to conduct self-assessment
- Examples of professional software used to support this methodology
- Results from an actual CSA
- Estimation of VaR using simulation
•  Exceptional and unexceptional events
•  Will the normal modelling capture exceptional events?
•  If not, what can be done?
•  Case studies: Barings and Allied Irish Bank
•  Exposure management – internal mitigation and insurance
•  Risk reporting
•  Where is current best practice, and what are the leading institutions doing?
•  Results of QIS3 (2004) and QIS5 (June 2006)
•  Summary: will it work?
Various case studies, including BCCI, Daiwa and First National Bank of Keystone
Should time permit and the delegates desire it, the following topics may also be discussed.

Reputational Risk
Reputational risk is regarded by many banks to be the most important risk of all, ranking above even credit risk. Yet, because it is soft and very difficult to measure, reputational risk management is often down-played. This session discusses how reputational risk may be assessed and managed in practice, using a number of banks as examplars.

Legal Risk
Legal risk is deemed to be an integral part of operational risk and is yet often managed completely separately. This session debates the different forms of legal risks, and asks how the operational capital may be assessed.

Accounting and Tax Risk
Traditionally, these risks have remained the remit of the financial function, away from the prying eyes of risk management. Should that remain, or should accounting and tax risks simply form another component of operational risks.

 

Day 5

The ICAAP

It is a regulatory requirement that banks have to submit an Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment report to their supervisor each year. However, the Accord is very low on precise details as to what should go into this report. This session will go through the production of an ICAAP in detail, with some real examples.
• Objective of the ICAAP – with the concept of proportionality
• Where to start?
- Linking the ICAAP to the long-term strategic plans of the bank
• Identifying all material risks
• Assessing all material risks
- How to handle soft risks such as reputational, liquidity or fraud risks
• Discussing risk mitigation
• Other components of an ICAAP
• Things to do, and things to avoid!!
Beyond the Accord: Risk and Return

The objective of this session is to explore how modern risk management may contribute to the overall strategic development of the institution. In particular, what is the acceptable trade-off between the return on a transaction and the risk it incurs for the bank? A number of different aspects will be reviewed, and current global “best practice” will be discussed.

RAROC: Risk-Adjusted Return on Risk-Adjusted Capital
•  What is RAROC? How is it defined?
•  Variants such as EVA
•  Determining the cost of capital using the capital asset pricing model
•  The use of RAROC:
•  Ex ante: allocating economic capital to business units
•  Ex post: performance measurement
•  How correlations and marginal risk contribution can be integrated into RAROC
•  Implementing RAROC: what are the practical problems?

Final Words
•  How can risk management add value to the organisation?
•  Risk management of the future

Course Summary and Close

 

Why us


We have a combined experience of over 60 years providing learning solutions to the world’s major organisations and are privileged to have contributed to their success. We view our clients as partners and focus on understanding the needs of each organisation we work with to tailor learning solutions to specific requirements.

We are proud of our record of customer satisfaction. Here is why you should choose us to help you achieve your goals and accelerate your career:

  • Quality – our clients consistently rate our performance ‘excellent’ or ‘outstanding’. Our average overall score awarded to us by our clients is nine out of ten.
  • Track record – we have delivered training solutions for 95% of worlds’ top 100 banks and have trained over 250,000 professionals.
  • Knowledge – our 150 strong team of industry specialist trainers are world leading financial leaders and commentators, ensuring our knowledge base is second to none.
  • Reliability – if we promise it, we deliver it. We have delivered over 20,000 events both in person and online, using simultaneous translation to delegates from over 180 countries.
  • Recognition – we are accredited by the British Accreditation Council and the CPD Certification Service. In an independent review by Feefo we scored 96% on service and 95% on product